Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.001049 0.001192 0.001336 0.001491 0.001651 0.001813 0.001988
2026-01-18 0.000829 0.001037 0.001251 0.001487 0.001738 0.001996 0.002278
2026-01-25 0.000615 0.000862 0.001127 0.001427 0.001753 0.002092 0.002469
2026-02-01 0.000463 0.000740 0.001048 0.001405 0.001799 0.002215 0.002683
2026-02-08 0.000356 0.000654 0.001000 0.001409 0.001869 0.002360 0.002916
2026-02-15 0.000272 0.000587 0.000966 0.001425 0.001946 0.002508 0.003150
2026-02-22 0.000209 0.000536 0.000946 0.001451 0.002033 0.002664 0.003388
2026-03-01 0.000141 0.000468 0.000898 0.001441 0.002074 0.002767 0.003567
2026-03-08 0.000079 0.000391 0.000834 0.001407 0.002086 0.002834 0.003703
2026-03-15 0.000044 0.000349 0.000809 0.001418 0.002146 0.002954 0.003895
2026-03-22 0.000015 0.000300 0.000771 0.001410 0.002181 0.003043 0.004051
2026-03-29 0.000003 0.000272 0.000758 0.001430 0.002249 0.003167 0.004246
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000214 0.000710 0.001421 0.002299 0.003293 0.004465
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000162 0.000665 0.001413 0.002351 0.003422 0.004692
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000096 0.000581 0.001351 0.002337 0.003475 0.004832
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000055 0.000529 0.001327 0.002367 0.003577 0.005026
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000031 0.000499 0.001330 0.002429 0.003715 0.005261
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000015 0.000478 0.001345 0.002503 0.003866 0.005510
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000005 0.000466 0.001370 0.002590 0.004031 0.005773
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000431 0.001360 0.002631 0.004140 0.005971
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000384 0.001327 0.002640 0.004211 0.006124
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000366 0.001337 0.002705 0.004346 0.006349
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000338 0.001329 0.002743 0.004448 0.006536